Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.