Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima in this match.