J1 League Gameweek 4
Mar 12, 2023 5.00am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Yanmar Stadium Nagai
  • Shinji Kagawa 38' goal
  • Mutsuki Kato 52' goal
  • goal Fuchi Honda 86'

Cerezo Osaka vs Sagan Tosu - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions
Last game
Mar 4, 2023 6.00am
Urawa 2 - 1 Cerezo
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Leo Ceara

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Last game
Mar 4, 2023 6.00am
Sagan Tosu 1 - 0 Nagoya Grampus
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Yoichi Naganuma

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 28.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.

Result

Cerezo Osaka 46.29% ▲ (+0.16)
Draw 25.45% ▼ (-0.31)
Sagan Tosu 28.25% ▲ (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.11% ▲ (+1.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.69% ▲ (+1.33)
Under 2.5 50.31% ▼ (-1.33)
Over 3.5 27.74% ▲ (+1.17)
Under 3.5 72.26% ▼ (-1.17)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5 78.27% ▲ (+0.63)
Under 0.5 21.73% ▼ (-0.63)
Over 1.5 45.1% ▲ (+0.95)
Under 1.5 54.9% ▼ (-0.96)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5 67.86% ▲ (+0.81)
Under 0.5 32.14% ▼ (-0.81)
Over 1.5 31.38% ▲ (+0.91)
Under 1.5 68.62% ▼ (-0.91)

Score analysis

Cerezo Osaka 46.29%
Draw 25.45%
Sagan Tosu 28.26%
Cerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 10.66% ▼ (-0.37)
2-1 @ 9.24% ▲ (+0.07)
2-0 @ 8.14% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 4.7% ▲ (+0.12)
3-0 @ 4.14% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.13)
4-1 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.08)
4-0 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.02% ▼ (-94.29)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 46.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.1% ▼ (-0.16)
0-0 @ 6.99% ▼ (-0.39)
2-2 @ 5.24% ▲ (+0.15)
3-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-93.10)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.45%
Sagan Tosu
0-1 @ 7.93% ▼ (-0.26)
1-2 @ 6.87% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 4.5% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.10)
0-3 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 28.26%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 29
Sep 10, 2022 11.00am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Tokuma Suzuki 52' goal
  • Jean Patric 90'+3' goal
  • goal Fuchi Honda 82'
J1 League Gameweek 11
May 3, 2022 7.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Masaya Tashiro 71' yellowcard
  • Naoyuki Fujita 83' goal
  • yellowcard Hiroaki Okuno 52'
  • goal Bruno Mendes 73'
J1 League Gameweek 22
Jul 24, 2021 11.00am
3
3
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Noriyoshi Sakai 1' goal
  • Tomoya Koyamatsu 8' goal
  • Yuta Higuchi 45'+1' goal
  • Nanasei Iino 51' yellowcard
  • goal Mutsuki Kato 18'
  • yellowcard Riku Matsuda 65'
  • goal Mutsuki Kato 69'
  • goal Tatsuhiro Sakamoto 87'
  • yellowcard Riki Matsuda 90'+5'
J1 League Gameweek 7
Apr 2, 2021 11.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Hiroaki Okuno 46' goal
  • yellowcard Keiya Sento 42'
  • yellowcard Hwang Seok-Ho 55'
  • redcard Hwang Seok-Ho 77'
  • yellowcard Dudu 81'
J1 League Gameweek 28
Dec 16, 2020 10.00am
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Yuta Toyokawa 44' goal
  • goal Yuta Higuchi 22'
  • yellowcard Shinya Nakano 24'
  • yellowcard Renzo Lopez 90'
  • goal Tiago Alves 90'+1'
J1 League Gameweek 2
Jul 26, 2020 11.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Best Amenity Stadium
  • Kaisei Ishii 51' goal
  • Dudu 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Naoyuki Fujita 64'
  • goal Tatsuhiro Sakamoto 75'
  • yellowcard Yuta Koike 77'