J1 League
Gameweek
4
-
Shinji Kagawa
38'
-
Mutsuki Kato
52'
-
Fuchi Honda 86'
Cerezo Osaka vs Sagan Tosu - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 28.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.
Result
Cerezo Osaka
46.29%
▲
(+0.16)
Draw
25.45%
▼
(-0.31)
Sagan Tosu
28.25%
▲
(+0.15)
Both Teams to Score:
53.11%
▲
(+1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5
49.69%
▲
(+1.33)
Under 2.5
50.31%
▼
(-1.33)
Over 3.5
27.74%
▲
(+1.17)
Under 3.5
72.26%
▼
(-1.17)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5
78.27%
▲
(+0.63)
Under 0.5
21.73%
▼
(-0.63)
Over 1.5
45.1%
▲
(+0.95)
Under 1.5
54.9%
▼
(-0.96)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5
67.86%
▲
(+0.81)
Under 0.5
32.14%
▼
(-0.81)
Over 1.5
31.38%
▲
(+0.91)
Under 1.5
68.62%
▼
(-0.91)
Score analysis
Cerezo Osaka
46.29%
Draw
25.45%
Sagan Tosu
28.26%
Cerezo Osaka
1-0
@
10.66%
▼
(-0.37)
2-1 @ 9.24% ▲ (+0.07)
2-0 @ 8.14% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 4.7% ▲ (+0.12)
3-0 @ 4.14% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.13)
4-1 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.08)
4-0 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.02% ▼ (-94.29)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 46.29%
2-1 @ 9.24% ▲ (+0.07)
2-0 @ 8.14% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 4.7% ▲ (+0.12)
3-0 @ 4.14% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.13)
4-1 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.08)
4-0 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.02% ▼ (-94.29)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 46.29%
Draw
1-1
@
12.1%
▼
(-0.16)
0-0 @ 6.99% ▼ (-0.39)
2-2 @ 5.24% ▲ (+0.15)
3-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-93.10)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.45%
0-0 @ 6.99% ▼ (-0.39)
2-2 @ 5.24% ▲ (+0.15)
3-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-93.10)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.45%
Sagan Tosu
0-1
@
7.93%
▼
(-0.26)
1-2 @ 6.87% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 4.5% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.10)
0-3 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 28.26%
1-2 @ 6.87% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 4.5% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.10)
0-3 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 28.26%
Head to Head
J1 League
Gameweek
29
-
Tokuma Suzuki
52'
-
Jean Patric
90'+3'
-
Fuchi Honda 82'
J1 League
Gameweek
11
-
Masaya Tashiro
71'
-
Naoyuki Fujita
83'
-
Hiroaki Okuno 52'
-
Bruno Mendes 73'
J1 League
Gameweek
22
-
Noriyoshi Sakai
1'
-
Tomoya Koyamatsu
8'
-
Yuta Higuchi
45'+1'
-
Nanasei Iino
51'
-
Mutsuki Kato 18'
-
Riku Matsuda 65'
-
Mutsuki Kato 69'
-
Tatsuhiro Sakamoto 87'
-
Riki Matsuda 90'+5'
J1 League
Gameweek
7
-
Hiroaki Okuno
46'
-
Keiya Sento 42'
-
Hwang Seok-Ho 55'
-
Hwang Seok-Ho 77'
-
Dudu 81'
J1 League
Gameweek
28
-
Yuta Toyokawa
44'
-
Yuta Higuchi 22'
-
Shinya Nakano 24'
-
Renzo Lopez 90'
-
Tiago Alves 90'+1'
J1 League
Gameweek
2
-
Kaisei Ishii
51'
-
Dudu
63'
-
Naoyuki Fujita 64'
-
Tatsuhiro Sakamoto 75'
-
Yuta Koike 77'