J1 League Gameweek 2
Feb 25, 2023 6.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Nishigaoka National Stadium
  • Musashi Suzuki 51' goal
  • goal Ryonosuke Kabayama 64'

Gamba Osaka vs Sagan Tosu - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gamba Osaka

All competitions
Last game
Feb 18, 2023 6.00am
Reysol 2 - 2 Gamba Osaka
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Juan Alano

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Last game
Feb 18, 2023 6.00am
Sagan Tosu 1 - 5 Shonan Bellmare
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Yoichi Naganuma

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result

Gamba Osaka 39.38% (-0.12)
Draw 26.38% (+0.09)
Sagan Tosu 34.25% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.73% (-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.02% (-0.34)
Under 2.5 51.98% (+0.34)
Over 3.5 26.28% (-0.30)
Under 3.5 73.72% (+0.30)

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5 74.13% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 25.87% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 39.15% (-0.30)
Under 1.5 60.85% (+0.30)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5 71.14% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 28.86% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 35.27% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 64.73% (+0.18)

Score analysis

Gamba Osaka 39.37%
Draw 26.37%
Sagan Tosu 34.25%
Gamba Osaka
1-0 @ 10.09% (+0.08)
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.83% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.82% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.08% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 39.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.54% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 7.47% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 26.37%
Sagan Tosu
0-1 @ 9.28% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 7.8% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.77% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.23% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.39% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 34.25%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 28
Sep 3, 2022 11.00am
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Patric 21' yellowcard
  • Kwon Kyung-won 59' yellowcard
  • goal Jun Nishikawa 15'
  • goal Taisei Miyashiro 52'
  • yellowcard Hwang Seok-Ho 72'
  • goal Yuji Ono 78'
J1 League Gameweek 16
May 29, 2022 9.00am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Yuki Horigome 19' goal
  • Hwang Seok-Ho 88' goal
  • goal Hiroto Yamami 58'
J1 League Gameweek 33
Oct 23, 2021 9.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Takashi Usami 10' goal
J1 League Gameweek 18
Apr 14, 2021 11.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Yoshihiro Nakano 61' yellowcard
  • goal Takashi Usami 68'
J1 League Gameweek 25
Nov 29, 2020 8.00am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Patric 77' goal
  • Shu Kurata 79' yellowcard
  • goal Ryunosuke Sagara 11'
  • yellowcard Dudu 52'
  • yellowcard Riki Harakawa 90'+1'
J1 League Gameweek 6
Oct 7, 2020 11.00am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Best Amenity Stadium
  • Renzo Lopez 90'+2' goal
  • goal Kazuma Watanabe 21'
  • goal Kazuma Watanabe 34'
  • yellowcard Ryu Takao 74'