J1 League | Gameweek 30
Sep 16, 2022 at 11am UK
Tosu Stadium
Sagan Tosu1 - 1Kashima Antlers
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Kashima Antlers.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cerezo 2-1 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, September 10 at 11am in J1 League
Saturday, September 10 at 11am in J1 League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 38 | 9 | 63 |
| 7 | Sagan Tosu | 38 | 8 | 59 |
| 8 | Avispa Fukuoka | 38 | 5 | 54 |
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 1-1 Kashima Antlers
Saturday, September 10 at 11am in J1 League
Saturday, September 10 at 11am in J1 League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 38 | 26 | 73 |
| 4 | Kashima Antlers | 38 | 26 | 69 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 38 | 14 | 66 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 37.26%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sagan Tosu | Draw | Kashima Antlers |
35.36% ( 0.16) | 27.37% ( -0) | 37.26% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 49.69% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
