J1 League | Gameweek 15
May 22, 2021 at 6am UK
Tosu Stadium

Sagan Tosu
2 - 1
Kashima Antlers

Yamashita (50'), Higuchi (78')
Dudu (41'), Seok-Ho (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Matsumura (14')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Kashima Antlers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 50.68%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 22.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.16%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 1-0 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawKashima Antlers
22.88%26.44%50.68%
Both teams to score 45.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.15%57.85%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.43%78.57%
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.1%40.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.53%77.47%
Kashima Antlers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.06%22.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.28%56.72%
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 22.88%
    Kashima Antlers 50.67%
    Draw 26.44%
Sagan TosuDrawKashima Antlers
1-0 @ 8.39%
2-1 @ 5.52%
2-0 @ 3.75%
3-1 @ 1.65%
3-2 @ 1.21%
3-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 22.88%
1-1 @ 12.35%
0-0 @ 9.38%
2-2 @ 4.06%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 26.44%
0-1 @ 13.81%
0-2 @ 10.16%
1-2 @ 9.09%
0-3 @ 4.99%
1-3 @ 4.46%
2-3 @ 1.99%
0-4 @ 1.84%
1-4 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 50.67%