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J1 League | Gameweek 20
Aug 31, 2022 at 11am UK
Todoroki Athletics Stadium

Kawasaki
4 - 0
Sagan Tosu

Chinen (26'), Schmidt (47'), Marcinho (56'), Oshima (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Seok-Ho (32'), Naganuma (79')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kawasaki Frontale and Sagan Tosu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kawasaki Frontale

Last Six:
Last Game: Kawasaki 2-1 Kashima Antlers
Saturday, August 27 at 11am in J1 League

Sagan Tosu

Last Six:
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Friday, August 26 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 62.96%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 16.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawSagan Tosu
62.96% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 20.98% (0.0019999999999989 0) 16.06% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.7% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.69% (0.016999999999996 0.02)45.3% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.36% (0.015999999999998 0.02)67.64% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.23%13.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.94% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)41.06% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.79% (0.033999999999999 0.03)41.21% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.26% (0.029 0.03)77.74% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Kawasaki Frontale 62.94%
    Sagan Tosu 16.06%
    Draw 20.98%
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 11.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 7.37% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.54% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 3.66% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 3.24%
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.0029999999999997 0)
5-0 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 62.94%
1-1 @ 9.97% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-0 @ 5.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.38% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 20.98%
0-1 @ 5.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 4.42% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.3% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 16.06%

Head to Head
May 21, 2022 9am
Sagan Tosu
0-0
Kawasaki

Koizumi (19'), Tashiro (90')

Taniguchi (82')
Nov 7, 2021 5am
Sagan Tosu
3-1
Kawasaki
Iwasaki (3'), Sakai (20'), Koyamatsu (32' pen.)
Nakano (83'), Sagara (90+3')
Damiao (90+1')
Apr 7, 2021 11am
Kawasaki
1-0
Sagan Tosu
Tono (65')
Tanaka (68')

Tashiro (57')
Dec 12, 2020 5am
Sagan Tosu
1-1
Kawasaki
Lopez (86')
Taniguchi (57')
Feb 22, 2020 6am
Kawasaki
0-0
Sagan Tosu
Damiao (49')

Alves (80'), Harakawa (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe38219861362572
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima381911872432968
3Machida Zelvia381991054342066
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka381812849351466
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers381811960411965
6Tokyo Verdy381414105151056
7FC Tokyo38159145351254
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki381313126657952
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama38157166162-152
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo381313124348-552
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus38155184447-350
12Avispa Fukuoka381214123338-550
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa381212144945448
14Kyoto Sanga381211154355-1247
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare38129175358-545
16Albirex Niigata381012164459-1542
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol38914153951-1241
18Jubilo Iwata38108204768-2138
19Consadole SapporoConsadole38910194366-2337
20Sagan Tosu38105234868-2035
> J1 League Full Table


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