J1 League | Gameweek 30
Sep 18, 2022 at 11am UK
Noevir Stadium Kobe
Gamba Osaka

Vissel Kobe
2 - 1
Gamba Osaka

Osako (83' pen., 90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pereira (55')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Vissel Kobe and Gamba Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vissel Kobe

Last Six:
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 2-1 FC Tokyo
Wednesday, September 14 at 11am in J1 League

Gamba Osaka

Last Six:
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 0-0 FC Tokyo
Saturday, September 10 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 56.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 19.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.

Result
Vissel KobeDrawGamba Osaka
56.75% (-0.363 -0.36)23.63% (0.382 0.38)19.61% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 49.17% (-1.196 -1.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.19% (-1.575 -1.58)50.81% (1.571 1.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.3% (-1.404 -1.4)72.7% (1.4 1.4)
Vissel Kobe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.29% (-0.702 -0.7)17.71% (0.697 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.64% (-1.228 -1.23)48.36% (1.223 1.22)
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.75% (-0.94 -0.94)40.25% (0.934 0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.12% (-0.864 -0.86)76.88% (0.85899999999999 0.86)
Score Analysis
    Vissel Kobe 56.75%
    Gamba Osaka 19.61%
    Draw 23.62%
Vissel KobeDrawGamba Osaka
1-0 @ 12.33% (0.49 0.49)
2-0 @ 10.68% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
3-0 @ 6.16% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.61% (-0.175 -0.18)
4-0 @ 2.67% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.147 -0.15)
4-1 @ 2.43% (-0.134 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.091 -0.09)
5-0 @ 0.92% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 56.75%
1-1 @ 11.22% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 7.13% (0.44 0.44)
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 23.62%
0-1 @ 6.49% (0.243 0.24)
1-2 @ 5.11% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.95% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.55% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 19.61%

Head to Head
May 8, 2022 6am
Gamba Osaka
2-0
Vissel Kobe
Kyung-won (81'), Silva (90+1')
Fukuda (22'), Pereira (68')

Osako (26'), Osaki (78'), Hatsuse (83')
Kikuchi (34')
Jul 21, 2021 11am
Gamba Osaka
1-2
Vissel Kobe
Patric (19')
Silva (52')
Douglas (27'), Tanaka (31')
Feb 27, 2021 8am
Vissel Kobe
1-0
Gamba Osaka
Furuhashi (79')
Samper (23')
Nov 11, 2020 10am
Gamba Osaka
1-0
Vissel Kobe
Patric (27')
Jul 26, 2020 11am
Vissel Kobe
0-2
Gamba Osaka
Ono (62'), Usami (86')
Fukuda (75'), Matsuda (75')