J1 League | Gameweek 28
Sep 3, 2022 at 11am UK
Nishikyogoku Athletic Stadium

Kyoto Sanga
2 - 0
Vissel Kobe

Matsuda (1'), Toyokawa (9')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Thuler (90+3')
Kobayashi (59')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kyoto Sanga and Vissel Kobe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kyoto Sanga

Last Six:
    Last Game: Shimizu S-Pulse 1-0 Kyoto Sanga
    Saturday, August 27 at 10am in J1 League

    Vissel Kobe

    Last Six:
    Last Game: Vissel Kobe 1-3 Jeonbuk
    Monday, August 22 at 8am in AFC Champions League

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

    Result
    Kyoto SangaDrawVissel Kobe
    30.92% (-0.607 -0.61)26.95% (-0.785 -0.79)42.14% (1.394 1.39)
    Both teams to score 49.96% (2.097 2.1)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    44.93% (2.767 2.77)55.07% (-2.762 -2.76)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    23.67% (2.23 2.23)76.33% (-2.227 -2.23)
    Kyoto Sanga Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    67.34% (1.007 1.01)32.66% (-1.004 -1)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    30.8% (1.11 1.11)69.2% (-1.107 -1.11)
    Vissel Kobe Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    74.18% (2.037 2.04)25.82% (-2.034 -2.03)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    39.22% (2.68 2.68)60.78% (-2.677 -2.68)
    Score Analysis
        Kyoto Sanga 30.92%
        Vissel Kobe 42.13%
        Draw 26.94%
    Kyoto SangaDrawVissel Kobe
    1-0 @ 9.44% (-0.764 -0.76)
    2-1 @ 7.15% (0.045 0.04)
    2-0 @ 5.28% (-0.278 -0.28)
    3-1 @ 2.67% (0.089 0.09)
    3-0 @ 1.97% (-0.047 -0.05)
    3-2 @ 1.81% (0.158 0.16)
    Other @ 2.61%
    Total : 30.92%
    		1-1 @ 12.77% (-0.27 -0.27)
    0-0 @ 8.43% (-0.944 -0.94)
    2-2 @ 4.84% (0.3 0.3)
    Other @ 0.9%
    Total : 26.94%
    		0-1 @ 11.41% (-0.57 -0.57)
    1-2 @ 8.65% (0.311 0.31)
    0-2 @ 7.73% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
    1-3 @ 3.9% (0.351 0.35)
    0-3 @ 3.49% (0.226 0.23)
    2-3 @ 2.19% (0.251 0.25)
    1-4 @ 1.32% (0.187 0.19)
    0-4 @ 1.18% (0.138 0.14)
    Other @ 2.26%
    Total : 42.13%

    Head to Head
    Apr 2, 2022 8am
    Vissel Kobe
    1-3
    Kyoto Sanga
    Hatsuse (49')
    Ogiwara (55'), Miyayoshi (58'), Yamada (90+4')
    rhs 2.0


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