Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Kashima Antlers had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.