Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 53.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for an Albirex Niigata win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.