Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Vissel Kobe had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Vissel Kobe win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.