Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 63.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 15.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Shimizu S-Pulse win it was 0-1 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.