J1 League | Gameweek 28

Sep 3, 2022 at 10.30am UK

Hiroshima Big Arch

Hiroshima
2 - 0
Shimizu S-Pulse

Kawamura (83', 90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Shimizu S-Pulse.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 63.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 15.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Shimizu S-Pulse win it was 0-1 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Shimizu S-Pulse
63.36% ( -1.26)	20.86% ( 0.13)	15.77% ( 1.12)

Both teams to score 50.46% (

2.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.7% (

1.62)

45.3% (

-1.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.36% (

1.53)

67.64% (

-1.54)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.36% (

0.13)

13.64% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.18% (

0.26)

40.81% (

-0.27)

Shimizu S-Pulse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.42% (

2.53)

41.57% (

-2.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.94% (

2.14)

78.06% (

-2.15)

Score Analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 63.35%

Shimizu S-Pulse 15.78%

Draw 20.86%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Shimizu S-Pulse
1-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.75) 2-0 @ 11.25% ( -0.68) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.42) 3-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.24) 5-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.12) 5-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.82% Total : 63.35%	1-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.41) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.34) Other @ 0.94% Total : 20.86%	0-1 @ 4.98% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.18) Other @ 1.72% Total : 15.78%