Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.