J1 League | Gameweek 4

Mar 12, 2023 at 6am UK

Ajinomoto Stadium

FC Tokyo
3 - 1
Yokohama FC

Oliveira (5', 62'), Nakagawa (27')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Kimoto (45' og.)

Coverage of the J1 League clash between FC Tokyo and Yokohama FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Tokyo

All competitions

Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 2-0 FC Tokyo
Saturday, March 4 at 5am in J1 League

Goals
for

Yokohama FC

All competitions

Last Game: Yokohama FC 1-3 Kashima Antlers
Saturday, March 4 at 5am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 48.98%. A win for Yokohama FC had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Yokohama FC win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Tokyo would win this match.

Result
FC Tokyo	Draw	Yokohama FC
48.98% ( 0.25)	24.76% ( -0.04)	26.26% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 53.75% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.26% (

0.02)

48.74% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.15% (

0.02)

70.85% (

-0.02)

FC Tokyo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.06% (

0.11)

19.93% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.92% (

0.18)

52.08% (

-0.19)

Yokohama FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.13% (

-0.16)

32.87% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.56% (

-0.17)

69.44% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

FC Tokyo 48.97%

Yokohama FC 26.26%

Draw 24.75%

FC Tokyo	Draw	Yokohama FC
1-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 48.97%	1-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.75%	0-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.49% Total : 26.26%