J1 League Gameweek 5
Mar 18, 2023 5.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Nagoya Mizuho Athletic Stadium

Nagoya Grampus vs FC Tokyo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions
Last game
Mar 12, 2023 6.00am
Reysol 0 - 3 Nagoya Grampus
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Kasper Junker

FC Tokyo

All competitions
Last game
Mar 12, 2023 6.00am
FC Tokyo 3 - 1 Yokohama FC
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Diego Oliveira

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 36.47%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.4%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 (12.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result

Nagoya Grampus 34% (-0.11)
Draw 29.52% (+0.12)
FC Tokyo 36.47% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.38% (-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5 36.39% (-0.39)
Under 2.5 63.6% (+0.39)
Over 3.5 17.1% (-0.28)
Under 3.5 82.9% (+0.28)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5 65.03% (-0.29)
Under 0.5 34.96% (+0.28)
Over 1.5 28.29% (-0.30)
Under 1.5 71.7% (+0.30)

FC Tokyo Goals

Over 0.5 66.7% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 33.3% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 30.08% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 69.92% (+0.24)

Score analysis

Nagoya Grampus 34%
Draw 29.51%
FC Tokyo 36.47%
Nagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 12.23% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 7.07% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.43% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.48% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 2.25% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.36% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 34%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.45% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 11.64% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 3.89% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 29.51%
FC Tokyo
0-1 @ 12.8% (+0.12)
1-2 @ 7.4% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 7.04% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.58% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 36.47%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 33
Oct 29, 2022 7.00am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Noriyoshi Sakai 10' goal
  • Kensuke Nagai 69' goal
  • goal Yasuki Kimoto 49'
J1 League Gameweek 2
Apr 20, 2022 11.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Ajinomoto Stadium
J1 League Gameweek 32
Sep 22, 2021 11.00am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Adailton 26' goal
  • Takuya Aoki 42' yellowcard
  • Leandro 81' redcard
  • goal Jakub Swierczok 43'
J1 League Gameweek 7
Apr 3, 2021 6.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Yutaka Yoshida 49' yellowcard
  • Yasuki Kimoto 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tsuyoshi Watanabe 81'
J1 League Gameweek 14
Nov 15, 2020 10.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Gabriel Xavier 29' yellowcard
  • Naoki Maeda 81' yellowcard
  • Mateus 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Masato Morishige 36'
J1 League Gameweek 29
Aug 15, 2020 11.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Leandro 33' goal
  • yellowcard Shumpei Naruse 62'
  • redcard Shumpei Naruse 83'
  • yellowcard Mitchell Langerak 90'+4'