Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.