Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 58.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 19.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima in this match.