J1 League Gameweek 7
Apr 9, 2023 6.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT EDION Stadium
  • Douglas Vieira 75' goal

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Sagan Tosu - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

All competitions
Last game
Apr 1, 2023 7.00am
Kashima Antlers 1 - 2 Hiroshima
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Douglas Vieira

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Last game
Apr 1, 2023 7.00am
Sagan Tosu 1 - 0 FC Tokyo
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Yoichi Naganuma

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 58.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 19.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima in this match.

Result

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 58.35% (-0.44)
Draw 22.09% (+0.13)
Sagan Tosu 19.56% (+0.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.93% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.58% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 44.42% (+0.12)
Over 3.5 33.21% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 66.79% (+0.12)
Over 4.5 16.94% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 83.06% (+0.09)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5 85.08% (-0.19)
Under 0.5 14.92% (+0.19)
Over 1.5 56.7% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 43.3% (+0.35)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5 63.39% (+0.26)
Under 0.5 36.61% (-0.26)
Over 1.5 26.6% (+0.26)
Under 1.5 73.4% (-0.26)

Score analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 58.35%
Draw 22.09%
Sagan Tosu 19.56%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 10.39% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.89% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 6.3% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 6.27% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 3.17%
4-1 @ 3% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 2.98% (-0.07)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.14% (-0.03)
5-0 @ 1.14% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 58.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.44% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 5.46% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.99% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.06% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.09%
Sagan Tosu
0-1 @ 5.49% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 5.25% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 2.76% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 1.76% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.67% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 19.56%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 34
Nov 5, 2022 5.00am
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Taisei Miyashiro 57' goal
  • Hwang Seok-Ho 60' goal
  • goal Sho Sasaki 3'
  • goal Makoto Mitsuta 42'
J1 League Gameweek 1
Feb 19, 2022 5.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
J1 League Gameweek 21
Jul 3, 2021 11.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Junior Santos 62' goal
  • goal Noriyoshi Sakai 90'+1'
J1 League Gameweek 13
May 8, 2021 6.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Sho Sasaki 50'
J1 League Gameweek 15
Oct 3, 2020 9.00am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Yuya Asano 21' goal
  • Yuki Nogami 27' yellowcard
  • Shunki Higashi 45'+1' goal
  • Toshihiro Aoyama 56' goal
  • yellowcard Fuchi Honda 51'
J1 League Gameweek 21
Jul 12, 2020 10.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Ryo Nagai 89'