J1 League | Gameweek 12

May 7, 2023 at 6am UK

Yanmar Stadium Nagai

Cerezo
0 - 1
Kashima Antlers

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sekigawa (67')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Kashima Antlers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions

Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-2 Cerezo
Wednesday, May 3 at 6am in J1 League

Goals
for

Kashima Antlers

All competitions

Last Game: Consadole 0-1 Kashima Antlers
Wednesday, May 3 at 6am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Kashima Antlers in this match.

Result
Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Kashima Antlers
29.96% ( 0.21)	27.96% ( 0.39)	42.08% ( -0.6)

Both teams to score 46.61% (

-1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.88% (

-1.32)

59.12% (

1.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.44% (

-1.03)

79.56% (

1.03)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.5% (

-0.54)

35.5% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.74% (

-0.57)

72.26% (

0.57)

Kashima Antlers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.26% (

-0.94)

27.73% (

0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.7% (

-1.22)

63.3% (

1.22)

Score Analysis

Cerezo Osaka 29.95%

Kashima Antlers 42.07%

Draw 27.95%

Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Kashima Antlers
1-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.05% Total : 29.95%	1-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.95%	0-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 8.39% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 8.1% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.81% Total : 42.07%