Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Kashima Antlers had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.