J1 League | Gameweek 9
Apr 23, 2023 at 6am UK
Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata
0 - 2
Kashima Antlers

FT(HT: 0-2)
Suzuki (3'), Kakita (26')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Albirex Niigata and Kashima Antlers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Albirex Niigata

All competitions
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 3-2 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, April 15 at 6am in J1 League

Kashima Antlers

All competitions
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 1-5 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, April 15 at 8am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.

Result
Albirex NiigataDrawKashima Antlers
34.46% (-0.513 -0.51)26.18% (0.173 0.17)39.36% (0.342 0.34)
Both teams to score 53.4% (-0.653 -0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.86% (-0.80099999999999 -0.8)51.14% (0.803 0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.01% (-0.705 -0.7)72.98% (0.70699999999999 0.71)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.68% (-0.7 -0.7)28.32% (0.701 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.95% (-0.893 -0.89)64.05% (0.895 0.9)
Kashima Antlers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.5% (-0.18100000000001 -0.18)25.49% (0.183 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.66% (-0.248 -0.25)60.34% (0.25 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Albirex Niigata 34.46%
    Kashima Antlers 39.36%
    Draw 26.17%
Albirex NiigataDrawKashima Antlers
1-0 @ 9.11% (0.114 0.11)
2-1 @ 7.85% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.75% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.3% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-0 @ 2.42% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 34.46%
1-1 @ 12.44% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 7.22% (0.23 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.17%
0-1 @ 9.87% (0.263 0.26)
1-2 @ 8.51% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.74% (0.145 0.15)
1-3 @ 3.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.07% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.05% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 39.36%