J1 League Gameweek 4
Mar 11, 2023 5.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Denka Big Swan Stadium
  • Ryotaro Ito 22' goal

Albirex Niigata vs Kawasaki Frontale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Albirex Niigata

All competitions
J1 League
Last game
Mar 4, 2023 5.00am
Albirex Niigata 2 - 2 Consadole
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Ryotaro Ito

Kawasaki Frontale

All competitions
Last game
Mar 4, 2023 4.00am
Kawasaki 1 - 1 Shonan Bellmare
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Yasuto Wakizaka

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 36.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.02%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result

Albirex Niigata 36.4% (-0.35)
Draw 24.65% (-0.15)
Kawasaki Frontale 38.94% (+0.49)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.97% (+0.50)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.92% (+0.65)
Under 2.5 44.08% (-0.65)
Over 3.5 33.54% (+0.63)
Under 3.5 66.46% (-0.63)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5 76.13% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 23.87% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 41.94% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 58.06% (-0.16)

Kawasaki Frontale Goals

Over 0.5 77.46% (+0.54)
Under 0.5 22.54% (-0.54)
Over 1.5 43.87% (+0.79)
Under 1.5 56.13% (-0.79)

Score analysis

Albirex Niigata 36.4%
Draw 24.65%
Kawasaki Frontale 38.94%
Albirex Niigata
2-1 @ 8.23% (-0.05)
1-0 @ 7.71% (-0.20)
2-0 @ 5.52% (-0.13)
3-1 @ 3.93% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.93% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 2.64% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.41% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05% (+0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 36.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.48% (-0.10)
2-2 @ 6.13% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 5.38% (-0.16)
3-3 @ 1.45% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.65%
Kawasaki Frontale
1-2 @ 8.55% (+0.06)
0-1 @ 8.02% (-0.10)
0-2 @ 5.97% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.25% (+0.10)
2-3 @ 3.04% (+0.08)
0-3 @ 2.96% (+0.06)
1-4 @ 1.58% (+0.07)
2-4 @ 1.13% (+0.05)
0-4 @ 1.1% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 38.94%