J1 League Gameweek 5
Mar 18, 2023 6.00am
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Saitama Stadium 2002
  • Hiroki Sakai 35' goal
  • Takahiro Akimoto 45'+2' goal
  • goal Shusuke Ota 10'

Urawa Red Diamonds vs Albirex Niigata - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Urawa Red Diamonds

All competitions
Last game
Mar 11, 2023 5.00am
Vissel Kobe 0 - 1 Urawa
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Jose Kante

Albirex Niigata

All competitions
Last game
Mar 11, 2023 5.00am
Albirex Niigata 1 - 0 Kawasaki
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Ryotaro Ito

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 49.01%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 26.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.

Result

Urawa Red Diamonds 49.01% (+0.24)
Draw 24.85% (-0.19)
Albirex Niigata 26.13% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.35% (+0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.78% (+0.75)
Under 2.5 49.21% (-0.76)
Over 3.5 28.72% (+0.68)
Under 3.5 71.27% (-0.68)

Urawa Red Diamonds Goals

Over 0.5 79.89% (+0.40)
Under 0.5 20.11% (-0.41)
Over 1.5 47.63% (+0.64)
Under 1.5 52.36% (-0.64)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5 66.77% (+0.37)
Under 0.5 33.22% (-0.37)
Over 1.5 30.16% (+0.40)
Under 1.5 69.83% (-0.40)

Score analysis

Urawa Red Diamonds 49%
Draw 24.84%
Albirex Niigata 26.13%
Urawa Red Diamonds
1-0 @ 10.71% (-0.20)
2-1 @ 9.47% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 8.59% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 5.06% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 4.6% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.79% (+0.08)
4-1 @ 2.03% (+0.06)
4-0 @ 1.84% (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.12% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 49%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.8% (-0.10)
0-0 @ 6.68% (-0.21)
2-2 @ 5.22% (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-97.78)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.84%
Albirex Niigata
0-1 @ 7.36% (-0.16)
1-2 @ 6.51% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.06% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.39% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.92% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 26.13%