J1 League Gameweek 6
Apr 1, 2023 6.00am
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT Denka Big Swan Stadium
  • Shusuke Ota 35' goal
  • goal Kensuke Nagai 56'
  • goal Kasper Junker 80'
  • goal Sho Inagaki 90'+4'

Albirex Niigata vs Nagoya Grampus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Albirex Niigata

All competitions
Last game
Mar 18, 2023 6.00am
Urawa 2 - 1 Albirex Niigata
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Ryotaro Ito

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions
Last game
Mar 18, 2023 5.00am
Nagoya Grampus 0 - 0 FC Tokyo
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Kasper Junker

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 36.07%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 34.74% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.44%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 (12.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.

Result

Albirex Niigata 34.74% (-0.02)
Draw 29.18% (+0.01)
Nagoya Grampus 36.07% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.35% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 37.55% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 62.45% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 17.93% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 82.07% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 7.18% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 92.82% (+0.01)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5 66.15% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 33.84% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 29.49% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 70.51% (+0.02)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5 67.04% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 32.96% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 30.46% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 69.54%

Score analysis

Albirex Niigata 34.74%
Draw 29.17%
Nagoya Grampus 36.08%
Albirex Niigata
1-0 @ 12.08%
2-1 @ 7.27% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.55% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.62% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.36% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.46% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 34.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.41%
0-0 @ 11.15%
2-2 @ 4.03% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 29.17%
Nagoya Grampus
0-1 @ 12.38% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.44% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.87% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.75%
0-3 @ 2.54% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 36.08%