J1 League Gameweek 11
May 3, 2023 6.00am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Nishigaoka National Stadium
  • Dawhan 56' goal
  • goal Leo Ceara 28'
  • goal Mutsuki Kato 90'

Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gamba Osaka

All competitions
Last game
Apr 29, 2023 11.00am
Kashima Antlers 4 - 0 Gamba Osaka
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Juan Alano

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions
Last game
Apr 29, 2023 6.00am
Cerezo 0 - 1 Hiroshima
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Leo Ceara

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.

Result

Gamba Osaka 31.3% (-0.87)
Draw 27.49% (+0.33)
Cerezo Osaka 41.21% (+0.55)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.49% (-1.24)

Goals

Over 2.5 43% (-1.44)
Under 2.5 57% (+1.44)
Over 3.5 22.1% (-1.16)
Under 3.5 77.9% (+1.16)
Over 4.5 9.57% (-0.71)
Under 4.5 90.43% (+0.71)

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5 66.62% (-1.35)
Under 0.5 33.38% (+1.35)
Over 1.5 29.99% (-1.51)
Under 1.5 70.01% (+1.51)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5 72.79% (-0.38)
Under 0.5 27.2% (+0.38)
Over 1.5 37.38% (-0.49)
Under 1.5 62.62% (+0.49)

Score analysis

Gamba Osaka 31.3%
Draw 27.49%
Cerezo Osaka 41.21%
Gamba Osaka
1-0 @ 9.96% (+0.18)
2-1 @ 7.12% (-0.22)
2-0 @ 5.47% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 2.6% (-0.18)
3-0 @ 2% (-0.12)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.14)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 31.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.97% (+0.11)
0-0 @ 9.08% (+0.49)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.19)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.49%
Cerezo Osaka
0-1 @ 11.82% (+0.52)
1-2 @ 8.44% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 7.7% (+0.26)
1-3 @ 3.66% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 3.34% (+0.08)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.11)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.03)
0-4 @ 1.09% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 41.21%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 22
Jul 16, 2022 11.00am
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Kwon Kyung-won 17' goal
  • Kwon Kyung-won 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Riku Matsuda 11'
  • goal Hiroto Yamada 52'
  • goal Jean Patric 90'
J1 League Gameweek 14
May 21, 2022 6.00am
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Adam Taggart 58' goal
  • Hiroaki Okuno 66' goal
  • Hiroaki Okuno 90'+4' goal
  • goal Hiroto Yamami 33'
  • yellowcard Kohei Okuno 53'
  • yellowcard Dawhan 82'
J1 League Gameweek 27
Aug 28, 2021 11.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Riku Matsuda 51'
J1 League Gameweek 12
May 2, 2021 7.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Motohiko Nakajima 74' goal
  • yellowcard Tiago Alves 62'
  • goal Patric 82'
J1 League Gameweek 24
Nov 3, 2020 5.00am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Yuta Toyokawa 34' goal
  • Matej Jonjic 51' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kim Young-gwon 4'
  • goal Yosuke Ideguchi 32'
  • yellowcard Patric 51'
  • yellowcard Genta Miura 78'
  • yellowcard Yuya Fukuda 79'
  • yellowcard Shunya Suganuma 90'+5'
J1 League Gameweek 12
Jul 4, 2020 10.00am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Ademilson 68' goal
  • goal Hiroaki Okuno 45'+2'
  • goal Yusuke Maruhashi 62'
  • yellowcard Yasuki Kimoto 66'