Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 46.13%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 26.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.96%) and 1-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 1-0 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cerezo Osaka in this match.