J1 League Gameweek 13
May 14, 2023 5.30am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Kyōto Nishikyogoku Stadium
  • goal Tomoya Wakahara 26' (OG)

Kyoto Sanga vs Cerezo Osaka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kyoto Sanga

All competitions
Last game
May 7, 2023 6.00am
Yokohama 4 - 1 Kyoto Sanga
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Yuta Toyokawa

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions
Last game
May 7, 2023 6.00am
Cerezo 0 - 1 Kashima Antlers
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Leo Ceara

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 46.13%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 26.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.96%) and 1-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 1-0 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cerezo Osaka in this match.

Result

Kyoto Sanga 26.74% (-0.84)
Draw 27.13% (+0.12)
Cerezo Osaka 46.13% (+0.73)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.1% (-0.89)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.4% (-0.85)
Under 2.5 57.6% (+0.86)
Over 3.5 21.63% (-0.68)
Under 3.5 78.37% (+0.68)
Over 4.5 9.29% (-0.41)
Under 4.5 90.71% (+0.41)

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5 62.76% (-1.15)
Under 0.5 37.25% (+1.16)
Over 1.5 25.97% (-1.16)
Under 1.5 74.03% (+1.16)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5 75.05% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 24.95% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 40.42% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 59.58% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Kyoto Sanga 26.74%
Draw 27.13%
Cerezo Osaka 46.13%
Kyoto Sanga
1-0 @ 9.18% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 6.29% (-0.20)
2-0 @ 4.53% (-0.14)
3-1 @ 2.07% (-0.14)
3-0 @ 1.49% (-0.10)
3-2 @ 1.44% (-0.10)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 26.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.74% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.29% (+0.30)
2-2 @ 4.37% (-0.15)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.13%
Cerezo Osaka
0-1 @ 12.9% (+0.42)
0-2 @ 8.96% (+0.28)
1-2 @ 8.85% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.15% (+0.13)
1-3 @ 4.09% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.07)
0-4 @ 1.44% (+0.05)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 46.13%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 33
Oct 29, 2022 7.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
J1 League Gameweek 2
Feb 26, 2022 5.00am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Takashi Inui 48' goal
  • Ryuya Nishio 84' yellowcard
  • Koji Toriumi 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Kosuke Taketomi 34'
  • yellowcard Holneiker Mendes Marreiros 73'
  • yellowcard Mendes 73'