J1 League Gameweek 17
Jun 11, 2023 8.00am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Minato Soccer Stadium
  • Mateus 45' goal
  • Kasper Junker 69' goal
  • goal Ryoga Sato 65'

Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions
Last game
Jun 3, 2023 8.00am
Nagoya Grampus 3 - 1 Cerezo
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Kasper Junker

Avispa Fukuoka

All competitions
Last game
Jun 3, 2023 10.00am
Avispa Fukuoka 1 - 2 Gamba Osaka
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Yuya Yamagishi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 50.15%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 21.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.

Result

Nagoya Grampus 50.15% (-0.05)
Draw 28.36% (+0.04)
Avispa Fukuoka 21.49% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.39% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 35% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 65% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 16.11% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 83.89% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 6.19% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 93.8% (+0.04)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5 73.62% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 26.37% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 38.47% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 61.52% (+0.09)

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 0.5 53.5% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 46.49% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 17.9% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 82.1% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Nagoya Grampus 50.15%
Draw 28.35%
Avispa Fukuoka 21.49%
Nagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 16.34% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 10.89%
2-1 @ 8.34% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.84% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.71% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.61% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.42% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.24% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 50.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 12.26% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 3.19% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 28.35%
Avispa Fukuoka
0-1 @ 9.39% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 4.79% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.6% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.22% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 21.49%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 28
Sep 3, 2022 11.00am
2
3
HT : 1 3
FT
  • Jordy Croux 21' goal
  • Yuto Hiratsuka 57' goal
  • Daiki Miya 67' redcard
  • Tatsuki Nara 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Ryoya Morishita 2'
  • goal Kensuke Nagai 24'
  • goal Kensuke Nagai 38'
J1 League Gameweek 15
May 25, 2022 11.30am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Shinnosuke Nakatani 15' goal
  • Tiago 43' redcard
  • yellowcard Lukian 25'
  • yellowcard Hiroyuki Mae 28'
  • yellowcard Takahiro Yanagi 67'
J1 League Gameweek 25
Aug 22, 2021 10.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Shumpei Naruse 34' yellowcard
  • Jakub Swierczok 49' goal
  • yellowcard Emil Salomonsson 64'
  • yellowcard Douglas Grolli 90'+1'
J1 League Gameweek 1
Feb 28, 2021 4.00am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Douglas Grolli 7' yellowcard
  • Takuya Shigehiro 48' yellowcard
  • Takeshi Kanamori 82' goal
  • Takaaki Shichi 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Mateus 4'
  • yellowcard Ryogo Yamasaki 13'
  • yellowcard Yuki Soma 49'
  • goal Mateus 55'