Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Consadole Sapporo had a probability of 35.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Consadole Sapporo win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.