Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Consadole Sapporo would win this match.