J1 League Gameweek 10
Apr 29, 2023 7.00am
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Ajinomoto Stadium
  • Teruhito Nakagawa 8' goal
  • Diego Oliveira 34' goal
  • goal Ryotaro Ito 12'

FC Tokyo vs Albirex Niigata - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Tokyo

All competitions
Last game
Apr 22, 2023 6.00am
Hiroshima 1 - 2 FC Tokyo
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Diego Oliveira

Albirex Niigata

All competitions
Last game
Apr 23, 2023 6.00am
Albirex Niigata 0 - 2 Kashima Antlers
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Ryotaro Ito

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Tokyo would win this match.

Result

FC Tokyo 41.23% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 25.96% ▼ (-0.02)
Albirex Niigata 32.81% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.72% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.45% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 50.55% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 27.53% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 72.46% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 13% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 87% ▼ (-0.03)

FC Tokyo Goals

Over 0.5 75.75% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 24.25% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 41.39% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 58.61% ▼ (-0.05)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5 70.92% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 29.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 35.01% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 64.99% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

FC Tokyo 41.23%
Draw 25.95%
Albirex Niigata 32.81%
FC Tokyo
1-0 @ 9.99% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.74% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.08%
3-1 @ 4.13% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.34% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 41.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.33% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.05% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.4% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.95%
Albirex Niigata
0-1 @ 8.71% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.62% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 32.81%