Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 35.86%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 0-1 (11.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Avispa Fukuoka in this match.