J1 League | Gameweek 11

May 3, 2023 at 7am UK

Level-5 stadium

Avispa Fukuoka
1 - 0
FC Tokyo

Yamagishi (72')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Avispa Fukuoka and FC Tokyo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Avispa Fukuoka

All competitions

Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-3 Kawasaki
Saturday, April 29 at 9am in J1 League

Goals
for

FC Tokyo

All competitions

Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-1 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, April 29 at 7am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 35.86%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 0-1 (11.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Avispa Fukuoka in this match.

Result
Avispa Fukuoka	Draw	FC Tokyo
35.86% ( -1.22)	28.66% ( -0.16)	35.47% ( 1.39)

Both teams to score 45.83% (

0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.34% (

0.63)

60.66% (

-0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.26% (

0.47)

80.74% (

-0.47)

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.83% (

-0.46)

32.17% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.34% (

-0.52)

68.66% (

0.52)

FC Tokyo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.57% (

1.26)

32.43% (

-1.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.05% (

1.39)

68.95% (

-1.39)

Score Analysis

Avispa Fukuoka 35.86%

FC Tokyo 35.46%

Draw 28.66%

Avispa Fukuoka	Draw	FC Tokyo
1-0 @ 11.83% ( -0.43) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.34) 3-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 35.86%	1-1 @ 13.32% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.66%	0-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.5% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.71% Total : 35.46%