J1 League Gameweek 12
May 6, 2023 11.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Nagoya Mizuho Athletic Stadium
  • Sho Inagaki 67' goal

Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2023 7.00am
Nagoya Grampus 2 - 2 Vissel Kobe
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Kasper Junker

Gamba Osaka

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2023 6.00am
Gamba Osaka 1 - 2 Cerezo
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Juan Alano

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 53.56%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 20.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.

Result

Nagoya Grampus 53.56% (+3.65)
Draw 25.67% (-2.02)
Gamba Osaka 20.77% (-1.64)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.11% (+3.21)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.92% (+5.22)
Under 2.5 57.08% (-5.22)
Over 3.5 22.04% (+4.00)
Under 3.5 77.96% (-4.00)
Over 4.5 9.53% (+2.30)
Under 4.5 90.47% (-2.30)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5 78.62% (+3.87)
Under 0.5 21.38% (-3.87)
Over 1.5 45.64% (+5.64)
Under 1.5 54.36% (-5.64)

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5 57.38% (+1.33)
Under 0.5 42.62% (-1.33)
Over 1.5 21.03% (+1.11)
Under 1.5 78.97% (-1.12)

Score analysis

Nagoya Grampus 53.55%
Draw 25.66%
Gamba Osaka 20.77%
Nagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 14.05% (-1.22)
2-0 @ 10.84% (+0.34)
2-1 @ 9.25% (+0.61)
3-0 @ 5.58% (+0.76)
3-1 @ 4.76% (+0.79)
4-0 @ 2.15% (+0.50)
3-2 @ 2.03% (+0.40)
4-1 @ 1.84% (+0.47)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 53.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.58)
0-0 @ 9.11% (-1.98)
2-2 @ 3.94% (+0.40)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 25.66%
Gamba Osaka
0-1 @ 7.77% (-1.36)
1-2 @ 5.11% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.31% (-0.44)
1-3 @ 1.45% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-96.28)
Other @ 2%
Total : 20.77%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 27
Aug 27, 2022 10.00am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Patric 3'
  • yellowcard Ryotaro Meshino 27'
  • goal Musashi Suzuki 87'
J1 League Gameweek 6
Apr 2, 2022 6.00am
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Patric 26' goal
  • Kazuya Miyahara 54' goal
  • Keisuke Kurokawa 62' goal
  • goal Keiya Sento 83'
J1 League Gameweek 36
Nov 20, 2021 5.00am
1
3
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Shu Kurata 30' yellowcard
  • Patric 53' goal
  • Ko Yanagisawa 54' yellowcard
  • Patric 85' yellowcard
  • goal Jakub Swierczok 8'
  • goal Yoichiro Kakitani 22'
  • goal Jakub Swierczok 29'
J1 League Gameweek 11
Apr 22, 2021 11.30am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ryogo Yamasaki 14' yellowcard
  • Ryogo Yamasaki 29' goal
  • Yuki Soma 55' goal
  • yellowcard Gen Shoji 62'
  • yellowcard Takashi Usami 88'
J1 League Gameweek 11
Mar 6, 2021 7.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Shumpei Naruse 58' yellowcard
  • Yuki Soma 82' goal
  • yellowcard Takuro Kaneko 18'
J1 League Gameweek 30
Sep 23, 2020 11.00am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Ryu Takao 35' yellowcard
  • Yuki Yamamoto 53' goal
  • Takashi Usami 87' goal
  • goal Mu Kanazaki 21'
  • yellowcard Takuji Yonemoto 41'
  • yellowcard Shinnosuke Nakatani 51'
  • yellowcard Jae-Suk Oh 79'