J1 League Gameweek 16
Jun 3, 2023 8.00am
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT Nagoya Mizuho Athletic Stadium
  • Ryuji Izumi 21' goal
  • Yuichi Maruyama 31' goal
  • Mateus 43' goal
  • goal Capixaba 4'

Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions
Last game
May 27, 2023 5.00am
Consadole 1 - 2 Nagoya Grampus
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Kasper Junker

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions
Last game
May 28, 2023 6.00am
Cerezo 2 - 0 Yokohama FC
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Leo Ceara

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 36.12%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.6%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (11.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.

Result

Nagoya Grampus 36.12% (-0.22)
Draw 28.61% (+0.42)
Cerezo Osaka 35.26% (-0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.97% (-1.24)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.52% (-1.51)
Under 2.5 60.48% (+1.50)
Over 3.5 19.4% (-1.15)
Under 3.5 80.6% (+1.15)
Over 4.5 7.99% (-0.67)
Under 4.5 92% (+0.66)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5 68.08% (-0.90)
Under 0.5 31.91% (+0.90)
Over 1.5 31.63% (-1.04)
Under 1.5 68.36% (+1.04)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5 67.53% (-0.91)
Under 0.5 32.47% (+0.90)
Over 1.5 31% (-1.03)
Under 1.5 68.99% (+1.03)

Score analysis

Nagoya Grampus 36.11%
Draw 28.61%
Cerezo Osaka 35.26%
Nagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 11.83% (+0.37)
2-1 @ 7.6% (-0.14)
2-0 @ 6.76% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 2.89% (-0.13)
3-0 @ 2.57% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.12)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 36.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.31% (+0.10)
0-0 @ 10.36% (+0.57)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.19)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.61%
Cerezo Osaka
0-1 @ 11.65% (+0.37)
1-2 @ 7.49% (-0.14)
0-2 @ 6.56% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.81% (-0.13)
0-3 @ 2.46% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.12)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 35.26%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 34
Nov 5, 2022 5.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Yuki Soma 90'+7'
J1 League Gameweek 13
May 14, 2022 6.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Haruya Fujii 4' yellowcard
  • Keiya Sento 6' goal
  • yellowcard Seiya Maikuma 38'
J1 League Gameweek 37
Nov 27, 2021 5.00am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Naoyuki Fujita 80' goal
  • Ryuya Nishio 87' goal
  • goal Yoichiro Kakitani 67'
  • yellowcard Kazuki Nagasawa 77'
J1 League Gameweek 13
May 8, 2021 7.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Yutaka Yoshida 66' goal
  • Takuji Yonemoto 70' yellowcard
  • Yoichiro Kakitani 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Toshiyuki Takagi 59'
J1 League Gameweek 34
Oct 10, 2020 6.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Hiroyuki Abe 72' yellowcard
  • Mateus 90'+1' goal
J1 League Gameweek 11
Jul 12, 2020 11.00am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Lucas Mineiro 57' yellowcard
  • Tatsuhiro Sakamoto 69' yellowcard
  • goal Matej Jonjic 38' (OG)
  • goal Hiroyuki Abe 61'
  • yellowcard Yuichi Maruyama 88'