J1 League | Gameweek 16

Jun 3, 2023 at 8am UK

Nagoya Mizuho Athletic Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
3 - 1
Cerezo

Izumi (21'), Maruyama (31'), Mateus (43')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Capixaba (4')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Cerezo Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions

Last Game: Consadole 1-2 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, May 27 at 5am in J1 League

Goals
for

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions

Last Game: Cerezo 2-0 Yokohama FC
Sunday, May 28 at 6am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 36.12%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.6%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (11.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.

Result
Nagoya Grampus	Draw	Cerezo Osaka
36.12% ( -0.21)	28.61% ( 0.42)	35.26% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 45.97% (

-1.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.52% (

-1.5)

60.48% (

1.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.4% (

-1.15)

80.6% (

1.14)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.08% (

-0.9)

31.91% (

0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.63% (

-1.04)

68.36% (

1.03)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.53% (

-0.91)

32.47% (

0.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31% (

-1.03)

68.99% (

1.02)

Score Analysis

Nagoya Grampus 36.11%

Cerezo Osaka 35.26%

Draw 28.61%

Nagoya Grampus	Draw	Cerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 11.83% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.83% Total : 36.11%	1-1 @ 13.31% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.57) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.61%	0-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 7.49% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.7% Total : 35.26%