J1 League | Gameweek 16
Jun 3, 2023 at 10am UK
Level-5 stadium
Gamba Osaka

Avispa Fukuoka
1 - 2
Gamba Osaka

Yamagishi (17')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Alano (24'), Miura (32')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Avispa Fukuoka and Gamba Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Avispa Fukuoka

All competitions
Last Game: Yokohama 2-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, May 28 at 6am in J1 League

Gamba Osaka

All competitions
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-3 Gamba Osaka
Sunday, May 28 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 46.47%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 25.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Avispa FukuokaDrawGamba Osaka
46.47% (1.296 1.3)28.51% (-0.218 -0.22)25.02% (-1.077 -1.08)
Both teams to score 42.23% (-0.243 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.85% (0.107 0.11)63.15% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.43% (0.076999999999998 0.08)82.57% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.67% (0.72200000000001 0.72)27.33% (-0.724 -0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.22% (0.928 0.93)62.78% (-0.93 -0.93)
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.11% (-0.919 -0.92)41.89% (0.918 0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.66% (-0.809 -0.81)78.33% (0.807 0.81)
Score Analysis
    Avispa Fukuoka 46.46%
    Gamba Osaka 25.02%
    Draw 28.5%
Avispa FukuokaDrawGamba Osaka
1-0 @ 14.84% (0.24 0.24)
2-0 @ 9.63% (0.348 0.35)
2-1 @ 8.38% (0.096 0.1)
3-0 @ 4.17% (0.232 0.23)
3-1 @ 3.62% (0.114 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.58% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.35% (0.101 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.18% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 46.46%
1-1 @ 12.92% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 11.44% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.65% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 28.5%
0-1 @ 9.96% (-0.289 -0.29)
1-2 @ 5.62% (-0.194 -0.19)
0-2 @ 4.33% (-0.242 -0.24)
1-3 @ 1.63% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.06% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 25.02%

Head to Head
Aug 31, 2022 11am
gameweek 24
Avispa Fukuoka
0-1
Gamba Osaka
Patric (90+4')
Mar 19, 2022 5am
gameweek 5
Gamba Osaka
2-3
Avispa Fukuoka
Fukuda (82'), Pereira (90+1')
Croux (10'), Tanaka (59'), Yanagisawa (81' og.)
Jul 17, 2021 10.30am
gameweek 21
Avispa Fukuoka
0-1
Gamba Osaka
Patric (85')
Apr 7, 2021 11am
gameweek 8
Gamba Osaka
0-0
Avispa Fukuoka

Caue (74')