J1 League Gameweek 15
May 28, 2023 6.00am
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Denka Big Swan Stadium
  • Michael Fitzgerald 48' goal
  • goal Shu Kurata 2'
  • goal Juan Alano 43'
  • goal Keisuke Kurokawa 56'

Albirex Niigata vs Gamba Osaka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Albirex Niigata

All competitions
Last game
May 20, 2023 9.00am
Sagan Tosu 2 - 0 Albirex Niigata
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Ryotaro Ito

Gamba Osaka

All competitions
Last game
May 20, 2023 11.00am
Gamba Osaka 0 - 2 Yokohama
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Juan Alano

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result

Albirex Niigata 46.95% (-0.32)
Draw 25.87% (+0.36)
Gamba Osaka 27.18% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.06% (-1.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.38% (-1.44)
Under 2.5 52.62% (+1.44)
Over 3.5 25.72% (-1.25)
Under 3.5 74.27% (+1.25)
Over 4.5 11.82% (-0.81)
Under 4.5 88.18% (+0.81)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5 77.6% (-0.75)
Under 0.5 22.4% (+0.75)
Over 1.5 44.08% (-1.13)
Under 1.5 55.91% (+1.12)

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5 65.8% (-0.80)
Under 0.5 34.19% (+0.80)
Over 1.5 29.11% (-0.86)
Under 1.5 70.89% (+0.86)

Score analysis

Albirex Niigata 46.95%
Draw 25.86%
Gamba Osaka 27.18%
Albirex Niigata
1-0 @ 11.46% (+0.41)
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 8.57% (+0.11)
3-1 @ 4.59% (-0.15)
3-0 @ 4.28% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.14)
4-1 @ 1.72% (-0.10)
4-0 @ 1.6% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 46.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.29% (+0.16)
0-0 @ 7.66% (+0.43)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.16)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.86%
Gamba Osaka
0-1 @ 8.22% (+0.29)
1-2 @ 6.6% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 4.41% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.08)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.10)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 27.18%