Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 47%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.52%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Albirex Niigata	Draw	Yokohama F Marinos
29.21% ( 0.22)	23.79% ( 0.13)	47% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 59.31% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.54% (

-0.47)

42.46% (

0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.13% (

-0.47)

64.87% (

0.47)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.56% (

-0.09)

27.43% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.08% (

-0.11)

62.92% (

0.11)

Yokohama F Marinos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.73% (

-0.32)

18.26% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.68% (

-0.55)

49.32% (

0.55)

Score Analysis

Albirex Niigata 29.21%

Yokohama F Marinos 47%

Draw 23.78%

Albirex Niigata	Draw	Yokohama F Marinos
2-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.93% Total : 29.21%	1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.78%	1-2 @ 9.37% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 7.24% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.31% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 2.26% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.57% Total : 47%