J1 League Gameweek 12
May 7, 2023 6.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata vs Kashiwa Reysol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Albirex Niigata

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2023 11.00am
Yokohama FC 1 - 0 Albirex Niigata
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Ryotaro Ito

Kashiwa Reysol

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2023 7.00am
Shonan Bellmare 1 - 2 Reysol
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Mao Hosoya

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result

Albirex Niigata 40.09% (-0.31)
Draw 26.09% (+0.17)
Kashiwa Reysol 33.82% (+0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.58% (-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.15% (-0.68)
Under 2.5 50.85% (+0.68)
Over 3.5 27.27% (-0.60)
Under 3.5 72.73% (+0.60)
Over 4.5 12.83% (-0.40)
Under 4.5 87.17% (+0.40)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5 75.02% (-0.46)
Under 0.5 24.97% (+0.46)
Over 1.5 40.38% (-0.65)
Under 1.5 59.62% (+0.65)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5 71.42% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 28.58% (+0.25)
Over 1.5 35.63% (-0.31)
Under 1.5 64.37% (+0.31)

Score analysis

Albirex Niigata 40.09%
Draw 26.09%
Kashiwa Reysol 33.82%
Albirex Niigata
1-0 @ 9.9% (+0.14)
2-1 @ 8.6% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 6.87% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.98% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 3.18% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.07)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 40.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.4% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 7.14% (+0.20)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.09%
Kashiwa Reysol
0-1 @ 8.94% (+0.18)
1-2 @ 7.77% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.6% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 3.24% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.34% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.05)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 33.82%