Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.