J1 League
Gameweek
14
-
Yuji Ono
11'
-
Atsushi Kawata
80'
Sagan Tosu vs Albirex Niigata - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result
Sagan Tosu
32.42%
▲
(+0.05)
Draw
26.15%
▲
(+0.07)
Albirex Niigata
41.43%
▼
(-0.11)
Both Teams to Score:
53.01%
▼
(-0.20)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.58%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 2.5
51.42%
▲
(+0.27)
Over 3.5
26.77%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 3.5
73.23%
▲
(+0.23)
Over 4.5
12.5%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 4.5
87.5%
▲
(+0.15)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5
70.24%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 0.5
29.76%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 1.5
34.17%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 1.5
65.83%
▲
(+0.13)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5
75.46%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 0.5
24.54%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 1.5
40.99%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 1.5
59.01%
▲
(+0.25)
Score analysis
Sagan Tosu
32.42%
Draw
26.14%
Albirex Niigata
41.43%
Sagan Tosu
1-0
@
8.85%
▲
(+0.07)
2-1 @ 7.54% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 32.42%
2-1 @ 7.54% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 32.42%
Draw
1-1
@
12.43%
▲
(+0.03)
0-0 @ 7.3% ▲ (+0.08)
2-2 @ 5.29% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.14%
0-0 @ 7.3% ▲ (+0.08)
2-2 @ 5.29% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.14%
Albirex Niigata
0-1
@
10.26%
▲
(+0.07)
1-2 @ 8.74% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 7.21% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 41.43%
1-2 @ 8.74% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 7.21% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 41.43%