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J1 League | Gameweek 12
May 7, 2023 at 7am UK
Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium

Kawasaki
1 - 0
Sagan Tosu

Wakizaka (52')
Ominami (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Tashiro (90+4')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kawasaki Frontale and Sagan Tosu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Kawasaki
Wednesday, May 3 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-3 Yokohama
Wednesday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 67.24%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 13.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawSagan Tosu
67.24% (0.082999999999998 0.08) 19.21% (-0.026999999999997 -0.03) 13.54% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 50.27% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.37% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)42.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.97% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)65.03% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.27% (0.019000000000005 0.02)11.72% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.14% (0.045000000000002 0.05)36.85% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.95% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)43.05% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.66% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)79.33% (0.069999999999993 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Kawasaki Frontale 67.23%
    Sagan Tosu 13.54%
    Draw 19.21%
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawSagan Tosu
2-0 @ 11.59% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 10.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 8.29% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.98% (0.0029999999999992 0)
4-0 @ 4.44% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.74% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.9% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 67.23%
1-1 @ 9.12% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.05% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.12% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 19.21%
0-1 @ 4.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.84% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.79% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.16% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 13.54%

Head to Head
Aug 31, 2022 11am
gameweek 20
Kawasaki
4-0
Sagan Tosu
Chinen (26'), Schmidt (47'), Marcinho (56'), Oshima (87')

Seok-Ho (32')
May 21, 2022 9am
gameweek 14
Sagan Tosu
0-0
Kawasaki

Koizumi (19'), Tashiro (90')

Taniguchi (82')
Nov 7, 2021 5am
gameweek 34
Sagan Tosu
3-1
Kawasaki
Iwasaki (3'), Sakai (20'), Koyamatsu (32' pen.)
Nakano (83'), Sagara (90+3')
Damiao (90+1')
Apr 7, 2021 11am
gameweek 8
Kawasaki
1-0
Sagan Tosu
Tono (65')
Tanaka (68')

Tashiro (57')
Dec 12, 2020 5am
gameweek 34
Sagan Tosu
1-1
Kawasaki
Lopez (86')
Taniguchi (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Machida Zelvia24154537191849
2Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka24135628181044
3Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers2413563930944
4Vissel KobeVissel Kobe24126637211642
5Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima241010443251840
6Cerezo OsakaCerezo2491053226637
7FC Tokyo2410683532336
8Avispa Fukuoka249872322135
9Tokyo Verdy2481063236-434
10Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa249693934533
11Yokohama F MarinosYokohama2495103737032
12Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus2494112729-231
13Kashiwa ReysolReysol247893036-629
14Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki2461083535028
15Albirex Niigata2477103237-528
16Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare2467113438-425
17Kyoto Sanga2467112238-1625
18Jubilo Iwata2466123040-1024
19Sagan Tosu2472153144-1323
20Consadole SapporoConsadole2436152147-2615


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