MX23RW : Tuesday, February 27 00:48:26| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 12
May 7, 2023 at 7am UK
Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium
Kawasaki
1 - 0
Sagan Tosu
Wakizaka (52')
Ominami (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Tashiro (90+4')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kawasaki Frontale and Sagan Tosu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Kawasaki
Wednesday, May 3 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-3 Yokohama
Wednesday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 67.24%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 13.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawSagan Tosu
67.24% (0.082999999999998 0.08) 19.21% (-0.026999999999997 -0.03) 13.54% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 50.27% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.37% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)42.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.97% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)65.03% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.27% (0.019000000000005 0.02)11.72% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.14% (0.045000000000002 0.05)36.85% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.95% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)43.05% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.66% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)79.33% (0.069999999999993 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Kawasaki Frontale 67.23%
    Sagan Tosu 13.54%
    Draw 19.21%
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawSagan Tosu
2-0 @ 11.59% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 10.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 8.29% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.98% (0.0029999999999992 0)
4-0 @ 4.44% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.74% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.9% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 67.23%
1-1 @ 9.12% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.05% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.12% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 19.21%
0-1 @ 4.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.84% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.79% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.16% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 13.54%

Head to Head
Aug 31, 2022 11am
gameweek 20
Kawasaki
4-0
Sagan Tosu
Chinen (26'), Schmidt (47'), Marcinho (56'), Oshima (87')

Seok-Ho (32')
May 21, 2022 9am
gameweek 14
Sagan Tosu
0-0
Kawasaki

Koizumi (19'), Tashiro (90')

Taniguchi (82')
Nov 7, 2021 5am
gameweek 34
Sagan Tosu
3-1
Kawasaki
Iwasaki (3'), Sakai (20'), Koyamatsu (32' pen.)
Nakano (83'), Sagara (90+3')
Damiao (90+1')
Apr 7, 2021 11am
gameweek 8
Kawasaki
1-0
Sagan Tosu
Tono (65')
Tanaka (68')

Tashiro (57')
Dec 12, 2020 5am
gameweek 34
Sagan Tosu
1-1
Kawasaki
Lopez (86')
Taniguchi (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!