J1 League Gameweek 12
Kawasaki
May 7, 2023 7.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium
Sagan Tosu
  • Yasuto Wakizaka 52' goal

Kawasaki Frontale vs Sagan Tosu - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kawasaki Frontale

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2023 6.00am
Kyoto Sanga 0 - 1 Kawasaki
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Yasuto Wakizaka

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2023 7.00am
Sagan Tosu 1 - 3 Yokohama
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Yoichi Naganuma

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 67.24%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 13.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result

Kawasaki Frontale 67.24% ▲ (+0.09)
Draw 19.21% ▼ (-0.03)
Sagan Tosu 13.54% ▼ (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.27% ▼ (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.37% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 42.62% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 34.97% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 65.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 4.5 18.24% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 81.75% ▲ (+0.01)

Kawasaki Frontale Goals

Over 0.5 88.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 11.72% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 63.14% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 36.85% ▼ (-0.05)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5 56.95% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 0.5 43.05% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 1.5 20.66% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 79.33% ▲ (+0.07)

Score analysis

Kawasaki Frontale 67.23%
Draw 19.21%
Sagan Tosu 13.54%
Kawasaki Frontale
2-0 @ 11.59% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 10.81% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.77% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.29% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.98% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 67.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.12% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.05% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 19.21%
Sagan Tosu
0-1 @ 4.25% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 3.84% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 13.54%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 20
Kawasaki
Aug 31, 2022 11.00am
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Sagan Tosu
  • Kei Chinen 26' goal
  • Joao Schmidt 47' goal
  • Marcinho 56' goal
  • Ryota Oshima 87' goal
J1 League Gameweek 14
Sagan Tosu
May 21, 2022 9.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Kawasaki
  • Kei Koizumi 19' yellowcard
  • Masaya Tashiro 90' yellowcard
  • redcard Shogo Taniguchi 82'
J1 League Gameweek 34
Sagan Tosu
Nov 7, 2021 5.00am
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT
Kawasaki
  • Yuto Iwasaki 3' goal
  • Noriyoshi Sakai 20' goal
  • Tomoya Koyamatsu 32' goal
  • Yoshihiro Nakano 83' yellowcard
  • Ryunosuke Sagara 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Leandro Damiao 90'+1'
J1 League Gameweek 8
Kawasaki
Apr 7, 2021 11.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Sagan Tosu
  • Daiya Tono 65' goal
  • Ao Tanaka 68' yellowcard
  • redcard Masaya Tashiro 57'
J1 League Gameweek 34
Sagan Tosu
Dec 12, 2020 5.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Kawasaki
  • Renzo Lopez 86' goal
  • goal Shogo Taniguchi 57'
J1 League Gameweek 1
Kawasaki
Feb 22, 2020 6.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium
Sagan Tosu
  • Leandro Damiao 49' goal
  • yellowcard Tiago Alves 80'
  • yellowcard Riki Harakawa 83'

Form Data

Kyoto Sanga 0 - 1 Kawasaki
Avispa Fukuoka 1 - 3 Kawasaki
Kawasaki 1 - 1 Urawa
Kawasaki 1 - 2 Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka 2 - 0 Kawasaki
Consadole 3 - 4 Kawasaki
Sagan Tosu 1 - 3 Yokohama
Kyoto Sanga 2 - 3 Sagan Tosu
Sagan Tosu 1 - 1 Reysol
Hiroshima 1 - 0 Sagan Tosu
Sagan Tosu 1 - 0 FC Tokyo
Sagan Tosu 0 - 1 Vissel Kobe