Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 42.94%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 28.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.59%) and 1-2 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.16%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 1-0 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.