J1 League | Gameweek 18
Jun 25, 2023 at 11am UK
Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka)

Avispa Fukuoka
0 - 3
Vissel Kobe

FT(HT: 0-1)
Osako (22'), Muto (60', 87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Avispa Fukuoka and Vissel Kobe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 42.94%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 28.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.59%) and 1-2 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.16%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 1-0 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.

Result
Avispa FukuokaDrawVissel Kobe
28.37% (-0.631 -0.63)28.69% (0.161 0.16)42.94% (0.473 0.47)
Both teams to score 43.9% (-0.738 -0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.84% (-0.76499999999999 -0.76)62.16% (0.768 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.15% (-0.566 -0.57)81.85% (0.568 0.57)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.59% (-0.935 -0.94)38.41% (0.938 0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.84% (-0.906 -0.91)75.17% (0.91 0.91)
Vissel Kobe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.28% (-0.11200000000001 -0.11)28.72% (0.114 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.45% (-0.139 -0.14)64.56% (0.143 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Avispa Fukuoka 28.37%
    Vissel Kobe 42.93%
    Draw 28.68%
Avispa FukuokaDrawVissel Kobe
1-0 @ 10.55% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.3% (-0.163 -0.16)
2-0 @ 5.05% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-1 @ 2.01% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-0 @ 1.61% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.25% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 28.37%
1-1 @ 13.16%
0-0 @ 11.03% (0.31 0.31)
2-2 @ 3.93% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 28.68%
0-1 @ 13.76% (0.35 0.35)
0-2 @ 8.59% (0.19 0.19)
1-2 @ 8.21% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.57% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.42% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.11% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 42.93%

How you voted: Avispa Fukuoka vs Vissel Kobe

Avispa Fukuoka
0.0%
Draw
8.3%
Vissel Kobe
91.7%
12
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 5am
Oct 1, 2022 6am
Feb 26, 2022 7am
Oct 16, 2021 8am
Jun 19, 2021 5am
Gameweek 18
Avispa Fukuoka
1-2
Vissel Kobe
Yamagishi (19')
Nara (38'), Grolli (67')
Furuhashi (2'), Iniesta (80' pen.)
Kikuchi (58')