J1 League | Gameweek 17
Jun 10, 2023 at 11am UK
Yanmar Stadium Nagai

Cerezo
2 - 1
Vissel Kobe

Croux (50'), Kitano (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Yamaguchi (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Vissel Kobe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 3-1 Cerezo
Saturday, June 3 at 8am in J1 League

Vissel Kobe

All competitions
J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 0-2 Barcelona
Tuesday, June 6 at 11.30am in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawVissel Kobe
33.07% (2.612 2.61)27.88% (0.387 0.39)39.05% (-2.998 -3)
Both teams to score 47.84% (-0.30099999999999 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.94% (-0.76600000000001 -0.77)58.06% (0.76900000000001 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.26% (-0.607 -0.61)78.74% (0.60900000000001 0.61)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.3% (1.459 1.46)32.7% (-1.458 -1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.75% (1.597 1.6)69.25% (-1.596 -1.6)
Vissel Kobe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.08% (-2.032 -2.03)28.92% (2.035 2.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.2% (-2.595 -2.6)64.8% (2.596 2.6)
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 33.06%
    Vissel Kobe 39.05%
    Draw 27.88%
Cerezo OsakaDrawVissel Kobe
1-0 @ 10.57% (0.704 0.7)
2-1 @ 7.33% (0.37 0.37)
2-0 @ 5.91% (0.61 0.61)
3-1 @ 2.73% (0.239 0.24)
3-0 @ 2.2% (0.304 0.3)
3-2 @ 1.69% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 33.06%
1-1 @ 13.11% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 9.46% (0.273 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.88%
0-1 @ 11.73% (-0.33 -0.33)
1-2 @ 8.13% (-0.376 -0.38)
0-2 @ 7.28% (-0.646 -0.65)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.362 -0.36)
0-3 @ 3.01% (-0.459 -0.46)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.121 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.206 -0.21)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 39.05%

How you voted: Cerezo vs Vissel Kobe

Cerezo Osaka
13.3%
Draw
20.0%
Vissel Kobe
66.7%
15
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 11am
gameweek 24
Cerezo
3-0
Vissel Kobe
Taggart (22'), Suzuki (31'), Kato (87')

Yamakawa (68')
Apr 10, 2022 6am
gameweek 8
Vissel Kobe
0-1
Cerezo
Jul 17, 2021 11am
gameweek 20
Cerezo
1-1
Vissel Kobe
Toriumi (89')
Furuhashi (30')
May 15, 2021 8am
gameweek 14
Vissel Kobe
1-1
Cerezo
Vermaelen (90+6')
Sakamoto (75')
Sep 16, 2020 11am
gameweek 15
Vissel Kobe
0-1
Cerezo

Dankler (81')
Kakitani (63')
Tokura (33')