Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 52.56%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 22.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a FC Tokyo win it was 0-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.