Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 1-0 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.