J1 League | Gameweek 18
Jun 24, 2023 at 6am UK
Sapporo Dome

Consadole
1 - 4
Cerezo

Arano (45', 45')
FT(HT: 2-6)
Ceara (2', 2'), Kato (17', 17'), Kida (38', 38'), Kagawa (76', 76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Consadole Sapporo and Cerezo Osaka, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Consadole Sapporo

All competitions
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-1 Consadole
Saturday, June 10 at 11am in J1 League

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions
Last Game: Cerezo 2-1 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, June 10 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Consadole SapporoDrawCerezo Osaka
45.21% (0.271 0.27)25.09% (0.192 0.19)29.7% (-0.459 -0.46)
Both teams to score 55.19% (-0.896 -0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.99% (-1.051 -1.05)48.01% (1.055 1.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.82% (-0.972 -0.97)70.18% (0.977 0.98)
Consadole Sapporo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.74% (-0.31400000000001 -0.31)21.26% (0.318 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.82% (-0.49 -0.49)54.18% (0.494 0.49)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.1% (-0.851 -0.85)29.9% (0.856 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34% (-1.041 -1.04)66% (1.044 1.04)
Score Analysis
    Consadole Sapporo 45.21%
    Cerezo Osaka 29.7%
    Draw 25.09%
Consadole SapporoDrawCerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 9.84% (0.332 0.33)
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.62% (0.186 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.75% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.93% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.094 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.84% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.52% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 45.21%
1-1 @ 11.88% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 6.36% (0.274 0.27)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.68% (0.154 0.15)
1-2 @ 7.17% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.89% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 29.7%

How you voted: Consadole vs Cerezo

Consadole Sapporo
87.5%
Draw
0.0%
Cerezo Osaka
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2023 6am
Gameweek 7
Cerezo
2-3
Consadole
Ceara (14' pen., 61')
Kaneko (6', 15'), Tanaka (64')
Sep 2, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 28
Consadole
2-1
Cerezo
Gun-hee (86'), Aoki (90+4')
Nakahara (78')
Mar 19, 2022 7am
Gameweek 5
Cerezo
2-2
Consadole
Yamada (25'), Mendes (62')
Okamura (30'), Kaneko (76')
Sep 11, 2021 10am
Gameweek 28
Cerezo
0-2
Consadole

Inui (41')
Douglas (73'), Aoki (75')
Suga (56'), Fernandes (82')
Sep 8, 2021 11am
Gameweek 19
Consadole
0-3
Cerezo
Fujita (45+1'), Matsuda (51'), Okubo (88')
Tiago (90+2')