Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 38.51%. A win for Consadole Sapporo had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest Consadole Sapporo win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.