J1 League Gameweek 15
May 27, 2023 9.00am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Best Amenity Stadium
  • Kentaro Moriya 27' goal
  • Tomoki Hayakawa 69' goal
  • goal Shintaro Nago 33'
  • goal Yuma Suzuki 90'+1'

Sagan Tosu vs Kashima Antlers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Last game
May 20, 2023 9.00am
Sagan Tosu 2 - 0 Albirex Niigata
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Yoichi Naganuma

Kashima Antlers

All competitions
Last game
May 20, 2023 7.00am
Kashima Antlers 1 - 1 FC Tokyo
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Yuma Suzuki

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 48.21%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.67%) and 1-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 1-0 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result

Sagan Tosu 24.6% (-0.76)
Draw 27.19% (+0.09)
Kashima Antlers 48.21% (+0.67)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.23% (-0.88)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.87% (-0.81)
Under 2.5 59.13% (+0.81)
Over 3.5 20.43% (-0.63)
Under 3.5 79.57% (+0.63)
Over 4.5 8.58% (-0.37)
Under 4.5 91.41% (+0.37)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5 60.01% (-1.14)
Under 0.5 39.98% (+1.14)
Over 1.5 23.36% (-1.06)
Under 1.5 76.64% (+1.06)

Kashima Antlers Goals

Over 0.5 75.37% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 24.63% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 40.86% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 59.14% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Sagan Tosu 24.6%
Draw 27.18%
Kashima Antlers 48.2%
Sagan Tosu
1-0 @ 9.03% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 5.8% (-0.20)
2-0 @ 4.14% (-0.14)
3-1 @ 1.77% (-0.12)
3-0 @ 1.26% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 1.24% (-0.09)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 24.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.64% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 9.85% (+0.30)
2-2 @ 4.06% (-0.14)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.18%
Kashima Antlers
0-1 @ 13.79% (+0.39)
0-2 @ 9.67% (+0.27)
1-2 @ 8.86% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 4.52% (+0.12)
1-3 @ 4.14% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.07)
0-4 @ 1.58% (+0.05)
1-4 @ 1.45% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 48.2%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 30
Sep 16, 2022 11.00am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Taisei Miyashiro 34' goal
  • goal Arthur 58'
J1 League Gameweek 15
May 25, 2022 11.00am
4
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Yuta Higuchi 52' goal
  • Ayase Ueda 68' goal
  • Shoma Doi 90'+2' goal
  • Itsuki Someno 90'+4' goal
  • goal Masaya Tashiro 31'
  • goal Taisei Miyashiro 38'
  • goal Kei Koizumi 49'
  • yellowcard Masaya Tashiro 58'
  • goal Masaya Tashiro 90'+7'
J1 League Gameweek 37
Nov 27, 2021 5.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ayase Ueda 14' goal
  • Ayase Ueda 65' yellowcard
  • Leo Silva 72' yellowcard
J1 League Gameweek 15
May 22, 2021 6.00am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Dudu 41' yellowcard
  • Keita Yamashita 50' goal
  • Yuta Higuchi 78' goal
  • Hwang Seok-Ho 87' yellowcard
  • goal Yuta Matsumura 14'
J1 League Gameweek 24
Oct 14, 2020 10.45am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Daiki Matsuoka 60' yellowcard
  • goal Ryohei Shirasaki 12'
  • yellowcard Ryohei Shirasaki 41'
  • goal Tomoya Inukai 86'
J1 League Gameweek 5
Aug 8, 2020 10.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Kashima Soccer Stadium
  • Koki Machida 45' yellowcard
  • Ryuji Izumi 69' goal
  • Everaldo Stum 80' goal
  • yellowcard Ryoya Morishita 5'