Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Yokohama FC had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Yokohama FC win was 1-0 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sagan Tosu would win this match.