Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Consadole Sapporo would win this match.