J1 League Gameweek 20
Jul 8, 2023 11.30am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)
  • Yuki Horigome 64' goal
  • Cayman Togashi 90'+3' goal
  • goal Leo Ceara 13'

Sagan Tosu vs Cerezo Osaka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Last game
Jul 1, 2023 11.00am
Sagan Tosu 1 - 2 Urawa
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Yoichi Naganuma

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions
Last game
Jun 30, 2023 11.00am
Cerezo 0 - 1 Avispa Fukuoka
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Leo Ceara

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result

Sagan Tosu 34.25% (-0.02)
Draw 26.55% (+0.01)
Cerezo Osaka 39.21% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.18% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.31% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 52.68% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 25.67% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 74.33% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 11.79% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 88.21% (+0.01)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5 70.79% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 29.21% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 34.84% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 65.16% (+0.02)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5 73.71% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 26.29% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 38.58% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 61.41% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Sagan Tosu 34.25%
Draw 26.54%
Cerezo Osaka 39.21%
Sagan Tosu
1-0 @ 9.45%
2-1 @ 7.77% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.82% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.19% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.39% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 34.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.62%
0-0 @ 7.68% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 26.54%
Cerezo Osaka
0-1 @ 10.26% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.43% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.85% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.76% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.05% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.25%
0-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 39.21%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 4
Mar 12, 2023 5.00am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Yanmar Stadium Nagai
  • Shinji Kagawa 38' goal
  • Mutsuki Kato 52' goal
  • goal Fuchi Honda 86'
J1 League Gameweek 29
Sep 10, 2022 11.00am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Tokuma Suzuki 52' goal
  • Jean Patric 90'+3' goal
  • goal Fuchi Honda 82'
J1 League Gameweek 11
May 3, 2022 7.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Masaya Tashiro 71' yellowcard
  • Naoyuki Fujita 83' goal
  • yellowcard Hiroaki Okuno 52'
  • goal Bruno Mendes 73'
J1 League Gameweek 22
Jul 24, 2021 11.00am
3
3
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Noriyoshi Sakai 1' goal
  • Tomoya Koyamatsu 8' goal
  • Yuta Higuchi 45'+1' goal
  • Nanasei Iino 51' yellowcard
  • goal Mutsuki Kato 18'
  • yellowcard Riku Matsuda 65'
  • goal Mutsuki Kato 69'
  • goal Tatsuhiro Sakamoto 87'
  • yellowcard Riki Matsuda 90'+5'
J1 League Gameweek 7
Apr 2, 2021 11.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Hiroaki Okuno 46' goal
  • yellowcard Keiya Sento 42'
  • yellowcard Hwang Seok-Ho 55'
  • redcard Hwang Seok-Ho 77'
  • yellowcard Dudu 81'
J1 League Gameweek 28
Dec 16, 2020 10.00am
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Yuta Toyokawa 44' goal
  • goal Yuta Higuchi 22'
  • yellowcard Shinya Nakano 24'
  • yellowcard Renzo Lopez 90'
  • goal Tiago Alves 90'+1'