J1 League | Gameweek 20

Jul 8, 2023 at 11.30am UK

Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)

Sagan Tosu
2 - 1
Cerezo

FT(HT: 0-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Cerezo Osaka, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sagan Tosu

All competitions

Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-2 Urawa
Saturday, July 1 at 11am in J1 League

Goals
for

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions

Last Game: Cerezo 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Friday, June 30 at 11am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Sagan Tosu	Draw	Cerezo Osaka
34.25% ( -0.02)	26.55% ( 0)	39.21% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 52.18% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.31% (

-0.02)

52.68% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.67% (

-0.02)

74.33% (

0.01)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.79% (

-0.02)

29.21% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.84% (

-0.02)

65.16% (

0.02)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.71% (

-0)

26.29% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.58% (

61.41% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Sagan Tosu 34.25%

Cerezo Osaka 39.21%

Draw 26.54%

Sagan Tosu	Draw	Cerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 9.45% 2-1 @ 7.77% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.82% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.39% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 34.25%	1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 7.68% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.54%	0-1 @ 10.26% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.43% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.85% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.05% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.25% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.27% Total : 39.21%