J1 League Gameweek 18
Shonan Bellmare
Jun 24, 2023 11.00am
0
6
HT : 0 2
FT Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka (Hiratsuka)
Sagan Tosu
  • goal Yuji Ono 2'
  • goal Yuji Ono 30'
  • goal Yuji Ono 49'
  • goal Yuki Horigome 63'
  • goal Yuta Fujiwara 86'
  • goal Ryonosuke Kabayama 90'+3'

Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Shonan Bellmare

All competitions
Last game
Jun 11, 2023 10.00am
Kashima Antlers 1 - 0 Shonan Bellmare
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Yuki Ohashi

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Last game
Jun 10, 2023 11.00am
Sagan Tosu 1 - 1 Consadole
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Yoichi Naganuma

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sagan Tosu would win this match.

Result

Shonan Bellmare 46.95% ▼ (-2.05)
Draw 25.28% ▲ (+0.18)
Sagan Tosu 27.78% ▲ (+1.88)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.34% ▲ (+0.98)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.14% ▲ (+0.56)
Under 2.5 49.86% ▼ (-0.56)
Over 3.5 28.15% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 3.5 71.85% ▼ (-0.50)
Over 4.5 13.41% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 4.5 86.59% ▼ (-0.34)

Shonan Bellmare Goals

Over 0.5 78.75% ▼ (-0.66)
Under 0.5 21.25% ▲ (+0.66)
Over 1.5 45.83% ▼ (-1.03)
Under 1.5 54.17% ▲ (+1.03)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5 67.73% ▲ (+1.79)
Under 0.5 32.27% ▼ (-1.79)
Over 1.5 31.24% ▲ (+1.98)
Under 1.5 68.76% ▼ (-1.98)

Score analysis

Shonan Bellmare 46.95%
Draw 25.27%
Sagan Tosu 27.78%
Shonan Bellmare
1-0 @ 10.62% ▼ (-0.47)
2-1 @ 9.3% ▼ (-0.14)
2-0 @ 8.22% ▼ (-0.54)
3-1 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.17)
3-0 @ 4.25% ▼ (-0.37)
3-2 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.11)
4-0 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.18)
4-2 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 46.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.01% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 6.86% ▼ (-0.16)
2-2 @ 5.26% ▲ (+0.19)
3-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-95.08)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.27%
Sagan Tosu
0-1 @ 7.76% ▲ (+0.21)
1-2 @ 6.79% ▲ (+0.37)
0-2 @ 4.39% ▲ (+0.32)
1-3 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.26)
2-3 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.16)
0-3 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.20)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 27.78%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 1
Sagan Tosu
Feb 18, 2023 6.00am
1
5
HT : 1 3
FT Best Amenity Stadium
Shonan Bellmare
  • Yuji Ono 45'+9' goal
  • goal Yuki Ohashi 3'
  • goal Yuki Ohashi 36'
  • goal Taiyo Hiraoka 45'+5'
  • goal Yuki Ohashi 60'
  • goal Kosuke Onose 64'
J1 League Gameweek 33
Shonan Bellmare
Oct 29, 2022 7.00am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Sagan Tosu
  • Shuto Machino 7' goal
  • Shuto Machino 21' goal
  • Shuto Yamamoto 78' goal
J1 League Gameweek 2
Sagan Tosu
Feb 26, 2022 6.00am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Shonan Bellmare
  • Yuta Fujiwara 24' goal
  • goal Shuto Machino 68'
  • yellowcard Ryota Nagaki 90'+1'
J1 League Gameweek 32
Sagan Tosu
Oct 16, 2021 6.00am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Shonan Bellmare
  • Noriyoshi Sakai 73' goal
  • goal Shuto Machino 19'
J1 League Gameweek 1
Shonan Bellmare
Feb 27, 2021 6.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Shonan BMW Stadium Hiratsuka
Sagan Tosu
  • Shun Nakamura 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Keita Yamashita 5'
  • yellowcard Dudu 45'
  • goal Daichi Hayashi 80'
J1 League Gameweek 24
Sagan Tosu
Oct 25, 2020 5.00am
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Best Amenity Stadium
Shonan Bellmare
  • Dong-Geon Cho 34' goal
  • Daiki Miya 66' yellowcard
  • Daichi Hayashi 75' goal
  • goal Akimi Barada 20'
  • goal Hiroshi Ibusuki 45'+2'

Form Data

Kashima Antlers 1 - 0 Shonan Bellmare
Shonan Bellmare 2 - 2 Albirex Niigata
Hiroshima 1 - 0 Shonan Bellmare
Shonan Bellmare 0 - 2 Cerezo
Shonan Bellmare 2 - 4 Consadole
Shonan Bellmare 1 - 2 Reysol
Sagan Tosu 1 - 1 Consadole
Yokohama FC 1 - 2 Sagan Tosu
Sagan Tosu 2 - 2 Kashima Antlers
Sagan Tosu 2 - 0 Albirex Niigata
Avispa Fukuoka 0 - 0 Sagan Tosu
Urawa 0 - 2 Sagan Tosu